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CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.

CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.List of A-share share repurchase: 16 companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, and on December 12, a total of 16 companies issued announcements related to share repurchase. Among them, four companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, two companies' repurchase plans were approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and six companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of a company's stock repurchase plan on that day exceeded 10 million. Nanshan aluminum, Longzhu Science and Technology and Longzhu Science and Technology have the highest repurchase plans, and they plan to repurchase no more than 600 million yuan, 5,895,100 yuan and 1,171,000 yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, the repurchase plans of two companies exceeded 10 million on that day. Huaan Securities and Tongkun have the highest repurchase amount, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 200 million yuan and 51,966,700 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Shunluo Electronics, Shengquan Group and Hailiang have the highest repurchase amounts, with 9.009 million yuan, 3.8251 million yuan and 3.5187 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, the repurchase amount of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Chengda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Jinshi Resources Co., Ltd. and Yingfangwei Co., Ltd. have completed the highest repurchase amounts, with 57,061,600 yuan, 53,158,000 yuan and 31,405,600 yuan respectively.

CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.South Korean President Yin Xiyue will speak to the people again. The reporter learned on the 12th local time that South Korean President Yin Xiyue will speak to the people again. (CCTV News)CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).